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Prediction market data on Academy Awards, music releases, box office performance, and celebrity events. Sourced from Polymarket and Kalshi.
All available culture prediction markets, those priced on more than one venue first. Tap any market for its price on every venue we track and where to trade it.
Ireland has sent Damian McCann's Irish-language heist thriller 'Aontas' to the 2027 Oscars. Polymarket's most-nominations board carries 22 legs, 13 of them empty placeholders, and 'Aontas' can win it through the catch-all.
The Astra TV Awards handed hardware to Hacks, The Pitt and Shrinking. Here is what Polymarket's Emmy count contract for Hacks actually measures.
Polymarket's 2026 Emmy Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series contract has six named contenders and no runaway. Here's what the market actually tracks.
Polymarket's Iran total internet blackout market resolves via Cloudflare Radar bytes-transferred data. Inside the ladder's remaining rungs and what the July leg's settlement means.
Polymarket's opening-weekend contract for Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey has the 75-85m band leading a six-rung ladder. Here's what the pricing actually says.
Polymarket's 2026 NL MVP contract has Shohei Ohtani far ahead of the field. Here is what that price shape tells you, and what it deliberately does not.
Culture prediction markets cover music releases, awards shows, box-office outcomes, and other entertainment events. Culture markets tend to be event-driven, clustering around awards seasons and big release windows, then going quiet in between.
Resolution depends on contract type. Music release markets resolve on official label or artist announcements with confirmed release dates. Awards markets resolve on the awarding body's published winners: the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Recording Academy, etc. Box-office markets resolve on numbers reported by Box Office Mojo or Comscore. Each contract specifies the source upfront.
Polymarket typically lists more culture contracts than Kalshi. It has historically run deeper Oscars, Emmys, and music release markets. Kalshi's culture footprint is growing but smaller. Both platforms ramp up listings ahead of major awards shows; expect the catalog to grow noticeably during early-year awards cycles.
Awards season (late January through March) typically brings the most culture contracts. Polymarket and Kalshi list Oscars, Grammys, and major awards markets weeks ahead. Outside that window, culture contracts are sparse: an album release here, a celebrity event there.