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Live prediction market odds on AI policy, space exploration, and emerging technology breakthroughs.
All available tech prediction markets, those priced on more than one venue first. Tap any market for its price on every venue we track and where to trade it.
A Polymarket contract asks who sits at the top of the corporate world on 30 September 2026. Here is what the market actually resolves on, and why the shape matters.
OpenAI is gating GPT-5.6 to government-approved partners first. Polymarket's release-timing market repriced hard, because the contract's rules already drew that exact line.
Polymarket's Strava IPO contract asks where the fitness app's market cap lands on day one. A look at the contract's structure, not the lean.
Polymarket's Kraken IPO market cap contract spreads bets across seven dollar bands from $16B to $28B. Here's what the structure actually tells you.
Polymarket's market on SpaceX Starship launches reaching space in 2026 leans heavily toward single digits. What the contract is really measuring.
A Polymarket contract resolves on June 30 by Chatbot Arena's leaderboard. Here is what it measures, what it doesn't, and how to read the snapshot.
Tech prediction markets cover technology policy, space exploration, AI regulation, and major product launches. They're a relatively new category. Polymarket and Kalshi started listing tech contracts seriously in late 2024 as the AI policy debate sharpened and SpaceX's launch cadence picked up. Volume is thinner than politics or macro categories, but the contracts that do get listed often have outsized informational value: a $1M market on whether Congress passes AI legislation tells you something specific about Beltway expectations.
Resolution sources vary by contract type. Space contracts resolve on official launch records: SpaceX press releases, NASA confirmation, FAA filings. AI legislation contracts resolve on enacted federal law (signed by the President, or veto override). Product-launch contracts resolve on company announcements with optional delivery confirmation. Each platform specifies the exact source in the contract terms before the market opens.
Polymarket tends to list more space and product-launch contracts; Kalshi leans toward US regulatory questions where its CFTC registration gives it an institutional edge. Expect both platforms to expand here. AI policy is the most-covered tech topic on both, and the 2026 election cycle is bringing more legislative contracts into scope.
Anything Polymarket or Kalshi categorizes as tech, science, or AI. That covers AI legislation, space exploration milestones, major product launches, crypto-adjacent technology questions, and emerging tech regulation. The catalog reflects whichever contracts the platforms have listed. When they list more, the category grows.