Prediction market probabilities on Premier League winners, NFL Super Bowl, Champions League, F1 Championship, NBA, and more. Live and upcoming markets.
Sports markets with events happening right now or closing today. Prices update in real time.
All available sports prediction markets, sorted by volume. Click any market to trade directly on the source platform.
Sports prediction markets sit alongside spread bets and exchange betting as a way to take views on sporting outcomes. The structural difference matters: prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts in the US, not gambling products. That regulatory framing has implications for tax treatment, venue choice, and which states you can trade from. The current sports catalog on iPredicta is football-heavy, with motorsport and basketball alongside.
Four sports markets are live. Polymarket runs three: the 2025/26 Premier League winner at 34% with $3.1M of volume, the 2026 UEFA Champions League winner at 18% on $2.4M, and Max Verstappen for the 2026 F1 World Championship at 38% on $1.2M. Kalshi's contribution is the Lakers reaching the 2026 NBA Finals — $780k of volume, currently priced at 21%. Smaller catalog than politics or economy, but the football and F1 contracts have real depth.
Sports markets resolve on official governing-body results. Premier League and Champions League contracts resolve on the final published table at season end. F1 championship markets resolve on the FIA's published driver standings after the final round. NBA Finals contracts resolve when the team in question is eliminated or wins. Each platform specifies the exact source — usually the league's own publication. There's no judgement call: if the result is contested, the platforms wait for the final official decision.
Polymarket dominates the sports category right now — three of the four contracts sit there. Kalshi has the NBA Finals contract and recently expanded its sports event-contract product (the 2026 Super Bowl was the highest-volume sports market on the site before it resolved earlier this year). Expect Kalshi's sports footprint to grow through the rest of the 2026 season.
The sports category cycles through events. Big tournament finals draw concentrated volume — the Super Bowl, World Series, Champions League final — but those resolve and disappear. Outside major tournaments, sports prediction markets tend to be thinner than politics or macro categories. As Polymarket and Kalshi list new sports contracts, they appear here automatically.
Sportsbooks set the odds and take the opposite side of your bet. Prediction markets match you against another user with the opposite view. The economics are different — sportsbooks make money on the vig, prediction markets on a per-trade fee. We cover this in detail in our guide to prediction markets versus sports betting.