Free guide for beginners
Spot the seven mistakes that cost new traders money, before they cost you
A free, plain-English guide to the errors almost every beginner makes on a prediction market in the first few weeks.
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What you'll learn
- Read any market price the way the traders setting it read it.
- Know exactly what a contract pays out on before you put money into it.
- Tell a position that is careful from one that only feels careful.
- Keep what you hope will happen out of what you think will happen.
- Find out what moved a price before you react to the move.
- Judge a return by how long it takes to arrive, not only by its size.
- Make sure the price you take is not simply the first one you saw.
A look inside
Pages from the guide. The full text is in the PDF.
Who it's for
- You are new to prediction markets, or just starting to look at them.
- You have taken an early loss and put it down to bad luck.
- You want to know what a price is telling you before you rely on it.
Why iPredicta
Every venue, side by side
We put each venue's price for the same question next to the others, so you can see where they agree and where they differ.
Checked before we publish
Every figure in our articles is checked against live prices before we publish.
Plain English, and independent
No jargon, no tips on what to trade, and we point out where two venues' rules for the same question differ.
iPredicta today
live markets tracked
venues whose prices we compare
Read from our live data as this page loaded.
Get the guide
Seven mistakes, what each one costs, and how to spot it early.
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Questions
Is it really free?
Yes. There is nothing to pay, now or later. Give us your email address and the guide downloads straight away.
Will you email me a lot?
You get the guide at once. If you ticked the box, you also get the daily email at noon UK; every email has an unsubscribe link.
Do I need an account?
No. You need an email address and nothing else: no iPredicta account, and no account with any prediction market.
Is this betting advice?
No. It explains how prediction markets work and what a price means. It does not tell you what to trade.
Get your free copy
The guide downloads as soon as you sign up.
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