iPredicta Learn

Prediction markets,
explained plainly

Guides and analysis for UK users — from how prediction markets work to which platforms you can legally access, what the regulatory picture looks like in 2026, and how to find the best pricing on any contract.

Regulation · UK

Are Prediction Markets Legal in the UK? A Complete 2026 Guide

Polymarket and Kalshi are geoblocked for UK users. Here is why the FCA's binary options ban catches prediction market contracts, which UKGC-licensed platforms you can use today, and the three regulatory signals to watch over the next twelve months.

24 April 2026 · 8 min read
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Comparison · US Live Mon 27 Apr

Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Should You Use in 2026?

Kalshi has 90% US market share and open access across around 42 states. Polymarket US is invite-only and sports-only. An honest comparison of fees, liquidity, market coverage, regulation, and who each platform actually suits.

27 April 2026 · 9 min read
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Explainer Live Tue 28 Apr

What Are Prediction Markets? A Plain-English Guide

Prediction markets turn questions about the future into prices. How the core mechanic works, where the probability comes from, a brief history from the Iowa Electronic Markets to Kalshi's $43 billion 2025 volume, and how to get started.

28 April 2026 · 9 min read
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Regulation · US Live Wed 29 Apr

Are Prediction Markets Legal in the US? A State-by-State Guide 2026

Federally legal, contested in six states, heading toward the Supreme Court. The complete guide to where Kalshi and Polymarket stand under federal and state law — the preemption argument, active rulings, and what it means for your access today.

29 April 2026 · 10 min read
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Comparison · US Live Thu 30 Apr

Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: What's the Difference?

A Kalshi contract on an NFL game looks identical to a FanDuel bet on the same game. They are not the same product. How they differ on fees, pricing transparency, regulation, tax treatment, and consumer protections — and who each suits.

30 April 2026 · 9 min read
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