NFL 2026

NFL prediction markets

Name: NFL 2026 season prediction market prices on Kalshi and Polymarket
Creator: iPredicta

Kalshi and Polymarket side by side: where they disagree, this week's games, and the season's futures. Every price dated.

The season opens · Wednesday 9 September

New England Patriots 37.5%

Seattle Seahawks 62.5%

Kalshi's price for each side to win, as at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC

This week's games → Where the two crowds disagree

Note, 8 September 2026. The NFL wrote to Kalshi and Polymarket on 4 September asking them to withdraw contracts on injuries, officiating and broadcast mentions, its second such letter since March. None of those markets is on this page. The outrights, win totals and moneylines here are the ones the league has not objected to. ABC News, 4 September 2026.

Where the two crowds disagree

Kalshi and Polymarket price the same outcomes with different traders. These are the 4 places where the two order books do not overlap: one venue's best bid is above the other's best ask, so each crowd is quoting a price the other would not fill. A gap is a disagreement, not a trade: fees, access and settlement differ between the venues.

1.9 pts apart

Dak Prescott

to win MVP

Kalshi6.5%

Polymarket9.6%

Polymarket's best bid, 8.9%, is above Kalshi's best ask, 7%.

1.8 pts apart

Matthew Stafford

to win MVP

Kalshi6.5%

Polymarket4%

Kalshi's best bid, 6%, is above Polymarket's best ask, 4.2%.

1.1 pts apart

Jordan Love

to win MVP

Kalshi4.5%

Polymarket2.9%

Kalshi's best bid, 4%, is above Polymarket's best ask, 2.9%.

1.0 pts apart

Lamar Jackson

to win MVP

Kalshi9.5%

Polymarket12.5%

Polymarket's best bid, 11%, is above Kalshi's best ask, 10%.

Prices as at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC. Only legs with at least 10,000 Kalshi contracts and $10,000 of Polymarket volume are considered; a gap that only exists between mid prices is not shown.

This week's games

16 games from 8 September 2026. Kalshi's price for each side to win; the two sides of a game are separate order books and need not sum to 100. Dates are the US game date.

Wed 9 Sept

New England Patriots37.5%

at Seattle Seahawks62.5%

Thu 10 Sept

San Francisco 49ers35.5%

at Los Angeles Rams64%

Sun 13 Sept

Arizona Cardinals18%

at Los Angeles Chargers81.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Atlanta Falcons36.5%

at Pittsburgh Steelers63.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Baltimore Ravens62.5%

at Indianapolis Colts37.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Buffalo Bills50.5%

at Houston Texans49.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Chicago Bears59.5%

at Carolina Panthers40.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Cleveland Browns21.5%

at Jacksonville Jaguars78.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Dallas Cowboys59.5%

at New York Giants40.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Green Bay Packers46.5%

at Minnesota Vikings52.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Miami Dolphins36.5%

at Las Vegas Raiders62.5%

Sun 13 Sept

New Orleans Saints25.5%

at Detroit Lions74.5%

Sun 13 Sept

New York Jets47.5%

at Tennessee Titans53.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Tampa Bay Buccaneers35.5%

at Cincinnati Bengals65.5%

Sun 13 Sept

Washington Commanders31.5%

at Philadelphia Eagles68.5%

Mon 14 Sept

Denver Broncos43.5%

at Kansas City Chiefs56.5%

As at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC.

Season futures

Who wins it all, who is MVP, and the four awards. Kalshi throughout; Polymarket where it prices the same outcome. Kalshi volumes are in contracts traded, not dollars.

Super Bowl LXI

14 February 2027, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. Top 8 of 32 by the Kalshi price.

Team	Kalshias at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Polymarketas at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Kalshi contractslifetime
Los Angeles Rams	16.5%	16.5%	7,420,640
Seattle Seahawks	7.5%	6.5%	4,059,544
Buffalo Bills	7.5%	8.5%	4,831,677
Baltimore Ravens	6.5%	6.4%	2,848,231
Kansas City Chiefs	5.5%	6.2%	2,619,141
Denver Broncos	5.5%	7%	4,889,888
San Francisco 49ers	4.5%	3.9%	3,950,197
Philadelphia Eagles	4.5%	4.4%	2,372,290
New England Patriots	4.5%	3.9%	2,404,459
Los Angeles Chargers	4.5%	4.4%	1,990,333
Houston Texans	4.5%	4.2%	3,914,496
Dallas Cowboys	4.5%	4.5%	6,265,829
Cincinnati Bengals	4.5%	3.7%	3,881,927
Green Bay Packers	3.5%	3.1%	2,269,729
Detroit Lions	3.5%	4.1%	2,066,300
Chicago Bears	3.5%	3.6%	3,321,783
Minnesota Vikings	2.5%	1.6%	3,939,588
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.5%	2.4%	1,064,783
Washington Commanders	1.5%	0.9%	2,173,608
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.5%	1.1%	1,291,007
New York Giants	1.5%	0.9%	2,775,699
Indianapolis Colts	1.5%	1.2%	549,706
Tennessee Titans	0.5%	0.5%	430,420
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.5%	1.2%	1,916,174
New York Jets	0.5%	0.6%	428,824
New Orleans Saints	0.5%	0.7%	2,883,233
Miami Dolphins	0.5%	0.6%	1,357,612
Las Vegas Raiders	0.5%	0.4%	3,208,818
Cleveland Browns	0.5%	0.6%	547,139
Carolina Panthers	0.5%	0.6%	1,769,701
Atlanta Falcons	0.5%	0.5%	503,432
Arizona Cardinals	0.5%	0.6%	369,884

Polymarket's 32 yes prices sum to 105.3%. Shown as quoted, not rescaled to 100.

Most Valuable Player

Top 8 of 45 priced on Kalshi. Polymarket where it prices the same name; its 29 yes prices sum to 100.2%.

Player	Kalshias at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Polymarketas at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Kalshi contracts
Joe Burrow	10.5%	9.8%	632,593
Josh Allen	10.5%	10.5%	397,845
Lamar Jackson	9.5%	12.5%	425,494
Justin Herbert	8.5%	9.5%	491,478
Drake Maye	7.5%	8.5%	517,631
Patrick Mahomes	6.5%	5.5%	612,766
Matthew Stafford	6.5%	4%	338,089
Dak Prescott	6.5%	9.6%	787,098

Offensive Rookie of the Year

Top 5 of 27 priced on Kalshi.

Player	Kalshias at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Kalshi contracts
Jeremiyah Love	15.5%	178,100
De'Zhaun Stribling	13.5%	128,019
Jadarian Price	13.5%	365,014
Carnell Tate	12%	115,524
Fernando Mendoza	11%	91,746

Defensive Player of the Year

Top 5 of 54 priced on Kalshi.

Player	Kalshias at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Kalshi contracts
Myles Garrett	25%	135,813
Will Anderson Jr.	20.5%	72,512
Aidan Hutchinson	11.5%	89,672
Maxx Crosby	5%	51,864
T.J. Watt	3.5%	28,729

Coach of the Year

Top 5 of 33 priced on Kalshi.

Coach	Kalshias at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Kalshi contracts
John Harbaugh	11.5%	26,692
Jesse Minter	11%	48,179
Brian Schottenheimer	8.5%	43,714
Ben Johnson	7.5%	51,266
Kellen Moore	7%	47,024

Defensive Rookie of the Year

Top 5 of 22 priced on Kalshi.

Player	Kalshias at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC	Kalshi contracts
David Bailey	23%	45,360
Rueben Bain Jr.	17.5%	67,818
Arvell Reese	13.5%	47,517
Caleb Downs	12.5%	88,934
Sonny Styles	10.5%	18,178

Kalshi prices are shown for information. iPredicta has no commercial relationship with Kalshi, and Kalshi's sports contracts are not available in every US state. Polymarket links carry our referral code; see the affiliate disclosure.

Season wins, all 32 teams

Kalshi prices each team's regular-season win total as a ladder of "at least N wins" contracts. The line is the highest rung still priced at 50% or more, with the rung above it in small type: a team at 10+ 54% and 11+ 41% is priced to finish around 10-7.

Team	Wins lineas at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC
Los Angeles Rams	12+ 55.5%13+ 35.5%
Seattle Seahawks	11+ 57.5%12+ 41%
Buffalo Bills	11+ 56%12+ 41.5%
Detroit Lions	11+ 55%12+ 40.5%
Baltimore Ravens	11+ 54%12+ 39.5%
Cincinnati Bengals	10+ 66.5%11+ 49.5%
Houston Texans	10+ 63.5%11+ 47.5%
Philadelphia Eagles	10+ 60%11+ 44.5%
Denver Broncos	10+ 59.5%11+ 45.5%
Los Angeles Chargers	10+ 57.5%11+ 41%
Kansas City Chiefs	10+ 56.5%11+ 41%
New England Patriots	10+ 55.5%11+ 40.5%
San Francisco 49ers	10+ 54.5%11+ 39.5%
Dallas Cowboys	10+ 53.5%11+ 38%
Green Bay Packers	10+ 53%11+ 38.5%
Jacksonville Jaguars	9+ 63%10+ 49.5%

Team	Wins lineas at 8 September 2026, 07:54 UTC
Chicago Bears	9+ 60%10+ 47.5%
Minnesota Vikings	9+ 57.5%10+ 40.5%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9+ 53.5%10+ 37%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9+ 52%10+ 35%
Indianapolis Colts	8+ 57.5%9+ 45.5%
New Orleans Saints	8+ 56.5%9+ 43%
New York Giants	7+ 58.5%8+ 45.5%
Washington Commanders	7+ 54%8+ 42%
Carolina Panthers	7+ 53.5%8+ 40.5%
Atlanta Falcons	6+ 62.5%7+ 48.5%
Las Vegas Raiders	6+ 55.5%7+ 39%
Tennessee Titans	6+ 55.5%7+ 42.5%
New York Jets	6+ 53%7+ 37%
Cleveland Browns	5+ 61.5%6+ 47.5%
Arizona Cardinals	4+ 53%5+ 38.5%
Miami Dolphins	4+ 51%5+ 39.5%

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