Group D / Host nation
USA / Paraguay / Australia / Turkey / 12 to 25 June

Four teams, three matchdays, and a host nation the market won't fade

USA enter their home World Cup priced as host-nation favourites... 83% to clear the group on Polymarket, with the freshly listed Group D Winner market reading USA at 37 percent, Turkey close behind at 36, before Pochettino's twenty-six even take the SoFi pitch. Turkey arrive freshest, through the UEFA playoff. Paraguay and Australia are the disruptors the lines keep underestimating.

Group D opens 12 June / SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Browse the four teams →
Abstract editorial hero for Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup

From the iPredicta desk

27 May 2026

Pochettino's USMNT 26 and the knockout-stage market that won't sit still

Pochettino names his USMNT World Cup 26 with Pulisic, Adams and McKennie. Here's how the squad reshapes the knockout-stage prediction market.

4 min read Read full piece →
More analysis →

Latest analysis

3 July 2026

Australia vs Egypt in the World Cup round of 32, with the market calling it a genuine coin-flip

Egypt lead Polymarket's Australia vs Egypt round of 32 contract at 41%, but with the draw on 34% and Australia on 27%, this fixture is priced as wide open.

5 min read Read full piece →
30 June 2026

Australia are the last AFC nation still playing, and the market still has Japan winning

Japan are out of the World Cup, but Polymarket still has them favourite to be the furthest-advancing AFC nation. The reason is Australia, Egypt and a tiebreaker.

4 min read Read full piece →
29 June 2026

Germany favoured at 73% against Paraguay as the round of 32 begins

Germany are clear favourites at 73% on Polymarket for their World Cup last-32 tie with Paraguay, but the draw at 19% says it's no formality.

5 min read Read full piece →
More analysis →

Group D teams

Four teams, four reads

Tap any card to open the dedicated team page.

USA

Host
  • vs Paraguay
  • vs Australia
  • vs Turkey
View USA →

Paraguay

  • vs USA
  • vs Turkey
  • vs Australia
View Paraguay →

Australia

  • vs Turkey
  • vs USA
  • vs Paraguay
View Australia →

Turkey

  • vs Australia
  • vs Paraguay
  • vs USA
View Turkey →

Matchdays

Six fixtures, three days

Group D plays out across three matchdays. Per-match winner markets are live on Polymarket where listed, with later fixtures opening as Polymarket posts them; tap a price to trade. Final scores appear once a match is played.

  • / MD1 USA vs Paraguay SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Full time 4 - 1
  • / MD1 Australia vs Turkey BC Place, Vancouver Opens soon
  • / MD2 USA vs Australia Lumen Field, Seattle Opens soon
  • / MD2 Turkey vs Paraguay Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara Opens soon
  • / MD3 Turkey vs USA SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Opens soon
  • / MD3 Paraguay vs Australia Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara Opens soon