iPredicta Insights

Editorial analysis,
updated as markets move

Politics, economy, crypto, sports, tech, culture, geopolitics and climate, written by the iPredicta team. Each piece links to the live market on Polymarket or Kalshi so you can act on what you read.

Flat geometric US Capitol dome on a deep navy ground, flanked by five short horizontal bars of differing lengths suggesting five separate contests.
Politics

2026 Senate Prediction Markets: Which races are the most competitive?

2026 Senate prediction markets, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket prices for the most competitive Senate races and control of the chamber.

18 September 2026
 Flat geometric US Capitol dome on a deep navy ground, with two columns of abstract horizontal bars of differing lengths beside it suggesting two separate sets of probabilities.
Politics

2026 Midterm Election Prediction Markets: Latest Polymarket and Kalshi prices for control of Congress

2026 midterm election prediction markets, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket prices for House and Senate control and key races.

17 September 2026
 A rain-soaked American football field at night, lit by a spotlight revealing white yard lines on dark green grass, with rain streaks falling diagonally across a deep navy background.
Sports

NFL Win Total Predictions: What do Kalshi and Polymarket US expect in 2026?

NFL win total predictions for 2026, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket US markets, win expectations and how to interpret prediction-market prices.

16 September 2026
 Two American football players in dark silhouette stand several metres apart on a misted, floodlit field, seen from behind with a helmet held low at each player's side. A bank of stadium lights burns white at the upper right, goalposts show faintly through the mist behind them, and the left half of the frame is empty near-black.
Sports

NFL Rookie of the Year Prediction Markets: Which Players Are Being Backed?

Explore the latest 2026 NFL Rookie of the Year prediction markets, including Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year odds on Kalshi and Polymarket.

15 September 2026
 A lone American football player in full silhouette seen from behind, standing in rain with a ball at his hip, facing a bank of white stadium floodlights that rim his helmet and shoulders in cold blue light, mist filling the ground below; the left third of the frame is empty near-black navy.
Sports

NFL MVP Prediction Markets: Who is favourite to win the 2026 award?

Who is favourite to win the 2026 NFL MVP? Compare the latest prediction market odds and probabilities on Kalshi and Polymarket, including Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen and Justin Herbert.

13 September 2026
 A row of eight stadium floodlight banks on tall masts at night, seen from pitch level and receding diagonally into blue mist, the nearest blazing white with a lens starburst and the farthest almost dark, rain streaking across the light; the left third of the frame is empty near-black navy.
Sports

NFL Division Winners: What do Polymarket & Kalshi prediction markets expect in 2026?

NFL division winners 2026: See what Kalshi and Polymarket predict for every AFC and NFC division, with live odds and analysis.

13 September 2026
 Stylised aerial view of an American football stadium at night, rendered as a geometric illustration in deep navy and blue, with a bright green field showing white yard lines and goal posts, surrounded by tiered seating and floodlights.
Sports

NFL Prediction Markets: Who Are the Favourites to Win Super Bowl 61?

Who are the favourites to win Super Bowl 61? Compare the latest NFL prediction market odds and probabilities on Kalshi and Polymarket, including the Rams, Bills and Seahawks.

10 September 2026
 A soccer player in a dark blue kit kicks a ball mid-action on a floodlit stadium pitch at night, silhouetted against blazing white stadium lights with a blurred crowd in the background.
Sports

Champions League Prediction Markets: Kalshi & Polymarket prices and probabilities for the 2027 tournament

Champions League prediction markets for 2027: compare Kalshi and Polymarket prices, probabilities and the latest winner, Golden Boot and knockout markets.

8 September 2026
 An empty podium with a microphone stands centre stage under a bright blue spotlight, surrounded by silhouetted audience figures on both sides against a deep navy background.
Politics

What Polymarket's Farage exit contract is actually pricing

Reform UK opens conference season with Nigel Farage under pressure. Polymarket's leadership exit market is leaning firmly against a departure this year.

3 September 2026
 A silhouetted figure sits in a chair viewing four floating screens on a dark navy wall, each displaying a different blue geometric pattern including angular shapes, hexagonal grids, and isometric cubes.
Sports

Lacy and Marlon's Warzone, Fortnite and Minecraft marathon is being priced by the day on Polymarket

A streaming trio's Call of Duty, Fortnite and Minecraft challenge has a Polymarket ladder counting down by day. Here's what the contract actually settles on.

3 September 2026
 Two stylised geometric soccer players in dark navy and bright blue kits face each other over a ball at centre pitch, set against a deep navy stadium background with perspective lines on the field.
Sports

Chelsea reportedly eye Wijnaldum as Arsenal head Polymarket's London derby priced fixture

Chelsea are linked with Georginio Wijnaldum as Arsenal head into a home meeting priced with Arsenal as the clear favourite on Polymarket. What the contract says.

3 September 2026
 A vertical blockchain-style diagram on a deep navy background, showing paired isometric cube icons connected by horizontal rungs like a ladder, rendered in white and blue line-work that fades toward both ends.
Crypto

Bitcoin's August 31 to September 6 price ladder on Polymarket: what the weekly contract actually settles

Polymarket's weekly Bitcoin price contract asks which threshold gets touched between August 31 and September 6. Here is how the ladder settles and what to read from it.

1 September 2026