Editorial analysis,
updated as markets move
Politics, economy, crypto, sports, tech, culture, geopolitics and climate, written by the iPredicta team. Each piece links to the live market on Polymarket or Kalshi so you can act on what you read.
Netanyahu's path to leaving office: what the markets are really pricing after the Israeli election
Israel's 27 October 2026 election left no clear majority. Here's how polymarket.com and Kalshi price Netanyahu's chances of leaving office by year-end.
What Polymarket's 2026-27 LALIGA champion contract is actually asking
Polymarket's 2026-27 LALIGA champion market has Barcelona as the heavy favourite, Real Madrid trailing, and almost every other side priced near zero. Here's what the contract measures.
2028 Presidential Election Odds: What Polymarket's Winner Market Is Actually Asking
The 2028 presidential election odds on Polymarket span 50-plus names and no runaway favourite. Here's what the contract tracks, how it resolves, and where Kalshi disagrees.
Midterm elections 2026 predictions: what the Senate control market is really asking
The 2026 Senate control market leans Democratic on both Polymarket and Kalshi. How each venue resolves it, why Democrats need 51 seats and Republicans 50, and what could move it before 3 November.
Milwaukee leads Polymarket's 2026 World Series contract, with two AL sides still playing for the other half
Polymarket's 2026 World Series contract has three live names left. Milwaukee sits clearly ahead, and the AL half is still being decided in Cleveland.
NBA 2027 Championship Odds: Spurs and Thunder Lead, but Kalshi and Polymarket Disagree
Polymarket's NBA 2027 Champion contract spreads probability across all 30 teams, but two names already dominate. Here's what the structure actually tells you.
Singapore Grand Prix 2026: what prediction markets give Kimi Antonelli for the F1 title
Kimi Antonelli leads the F1 drivers' championship by 84 points before the Singapore Grand Prix. Live Polymarket and Kalshi prices for the title and the race winner.
2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: Where Kalshi and Polymarket disagree
Compare Kalshi and Polymarket 2026 midterm prediction markets, including Georgia and New Hampshire, and explore why their prices sometimes differ.
What do prediction markets expect Manchester City's 115 charges punishment to be?
What do prediction markets expect Manchester City's 115 charges punishment to be? See the latest Polymarket.com and Kalshi prices on points deductions, relegation and more.
What developments could move the 2026 midterm prediction markets?
What moves 2026 midterm prediction market prices: polling, campaign spending and local issues, with the Ohio, Texas and Iowa Senate races as examples.
Who Will Win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Prediction markets expect a two-horse race
2026 Ballon d'Or prediction market odds for Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal and the leading contenders, with Kalshi and Polymarket prices analysed.
2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: 5 things traders are telling us
2026 midterm prediction markets show where traders see uncertainty. See the latest House, Senate and Governor odds from Kalshi and polymarket.com.