iPredicta Insights

Editorial analysis,
updated as markets move

Politics, economy, crypto, sports, tech, culture, geopolitics and climate, written by the iPredicta team. Each piece links to the live market on Polymarket or Kalshi so you can act on what you read.

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Politics

2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: Most traded races

Which 2026 midterm prediction markets are trading the most? Compare seven-day trading volume across Senate and governor races.

29 September 2026
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Politics

Why do prediction markets disagree with polls? 2026 midterm examples

Why do prediction markets disagree with polls? Explore how polling, probability, turnout and other information shape 2026 midterm market prices.

26 September 2026
 A stylised dark-navy US map highlights several states in shades of blue and white, including Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, New York, Pennsylvania, and Georgia, against a near-black background.
Politics

2026 Governor Prediction Markets: Which States are most competitive?

2026 governor race odds from Kalshi and Polymarket: the most competitive states, and where the two venues disagree, with both prices side by side.

23 September 2026
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Politics

2026 House Prediction Markets: Which party will win?

Compare 2026 House prediction markets on Kalshi and polymarket.com, including House control probabilities, seat-count markets and the closest races.

21 September 2026
 Flat geometric US Capitol dome on a deep navy ground, flanked by five short horizontal bars of differing lengths suggesting five separate contests.
Politics

2026 Senate Prediction Markets: Which races are the most competitive?

2026 Senate election odds from Kalshi and Polymarket: control of the chamber and the most competitive Senate races, with both venues' prices side by side.

18 September 2026
 Flat geometric US Capitol dome on a deep navy ground, with two columns of abstract horizontal bars of differing lengths beside it suggesting two separate sets of probabilities.
Politics

2026 Midterm Election Prediction Markets: Latest Polymarket and Kalshi prices for control of Congress

2026 midterm election prediction markets, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket prices for House and Senate control and key races.

17 September 2026
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Sports

NFL Win Total Predictions: What do Kalshi and Polymarket US expect in 2026?

NFL win total predictions for 2026, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket US markets, win expectations and how to interpret prediction-market prices.

16 September 2026
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Sports

NFL Rookie of the Year Prediction Markets: Which Players Are Being Backed?

Explore the latest 2026 NFL Rookie of the Year prediction markets, including Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year odds on Kalshi and Polymarket.

15 September 2026
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Sports

NFL MVP Prediction Markets: Who is favourite to win the 2026 award?

Who is favourite to win the 2026 NFL MVP? Compare the latest prediction market odds and probabilities on Kalshi and Polymarket, including Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen and Justin Herbert.

13 September 2026
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Sports

NFL Division Winners: What do Polymarket & Kalshi prediction markets expect in 2026?

NFL division winners 2026: See what Kalshi and Polymarket predict for every AFC and NFC division, with live odds and analysis.

13 September 2026
 Stylised aerial view of an American football stadium at night, rendered as a geometric illustration in deep navy and blue, with a bright green field showing white yard lines and goal posts, surrounded by tiered seating and floodlights.
Sports

NFL Prediction Markets: Who Are the Favourites to Win Super Bowl 61?

Who are the favourites to win Super Bowl 61? Compare the latest NFL prediction market odds and probabilities on Kalshi and Polymarket, including the Bills, Rams and 49ers.

10 September 2026
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Sports

Champions League Prediction Markets: Kalshi & Polymarket prices and probabilities for the 2027 tournament

Champions League prediction markets for 2027: compare Kalshi and Polymarket prices, probabilities and the latest winner, Golden Boot and knockout markets.

8 September 2026