Editorial analysis,
updated as markets move
Politics, economy, crypto, sports, tech, culture, geopolitics and climate, written by the iPredicta team. Each piece links to the live market on Polymarket or Kalshi so you can act on what you read.
Canada 6-0 Qatar puts the Group B winner contract within touching distance
Canada thrashed Qatar 6-0 in the World Cup group stage. The Polymarket Group B winner contract has narrowed sharply, with two legs already settled.
Bosnia favoured at 69% over Qatar as Polymarket prices a must-win Group B fixture
Polymarket has Bosnia and Herzegovina at 69% against Qatar on 24 June, with the draw at 20% and Qatar at 13%. Here's what the contract is really pricing.
Trump's Georgia stumble and the Polymarket contract that's nearly all settled
A self-funded outsider beat Trump's endorsed pick in Georgia. The Polymarket endorsement ladder is now mostly resolved. Here's what the market still tracks.
What Polymarket's 2028 Presidential Election Market Is Actually Asking
Polymarket's 2028 US presidential market spreads across 37 candidates with no clear favourite. The leading names, the long-shots, and what the odds say.
SpaceX Starship full reusability before 2027: what the Polymarket contract is really asking
Polymarket's Starship full reusability market sits split as of June 2026. Here's what the contract actually measures, and why the resolution rule matters.
Tyreek Hill's next NFL home: the Polymarket contract pricing where he lands
Polymarket's Tyreek Hill market prices where the receiver plays next, with the Chiefs leading and Eagles in second. A look at what the contract can and cannot tell you.
Portugal held by DR Congo in Houston and Group K's market just flipped open
Portugal drew 1-1 with DR Congo at the Houston Stadium and the Group K winner contract on Polymarket lost its clear favourite overnight.
The Major Oak is Dead, and Polymarket's 2026 Heat Ranking Tells the Background Story
Sherwood Forest's thousand-year-old Major Oak failed to leaf this spring after years of hot, dry summers. Polymarket's 2026 heat ranking market puts the climate context in numbers.
The Arctic sea ice market on Polymarket is asking a question scientists have been asking for years
Polymarket's Arctic sea ice contract puts a price on whether 2026 sets a record low minimum. A look at what the market measures and why it matters.
Variational's token launch question rolls forward as the 2025 deadline shuts
Polymarket's Variational token launch market has settled its first leg. Here is what the rolling deadline contract actually measures, and why it matters.
Olivia Miles at 98% on Polymarket's WNBA Rookie of the Year market
Polymarket's 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year contract has one name doing almost all the work. What the structure of a top-heavy futures market actually tells you.
Burnham at 87% on Polymarket as Reform's Makerfield candidate faces a social-media row
Polymarket prices Andy Burnham at 87% to win the Makerfield by-election as the Independent reports unearthed posts from the Reform candidate Robert Kenyon.