Rhys Turrell

Rhys Turrell

former writer and content editor at Paddy Power, previously online sports editor at the Daily Star

Insights

2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: Where Kalshi and Polymarket disagree

Compare Kalshi and Polymarket 2026 midterm prediction markets, including Georgia and New Hampshire, and explore why their prices sometimes differ.

2 October 2026
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Insights

What do prediction markets expect Manchester City's 115 charges punishment to be?

What do prediction markets expect Manchester City's 115 charges punishment to be? See the latest Polymarket.com and Kalshi prices on points deductions, relegation and more.

1 October 2026
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Insights

What developments could move the 2026 midterm prediction markets?

What moves 2026 midterm prediction market prices: polling, campaign spending and local issues, with the Ohio, Texas and Iowa Senate races as examples.

30 September 2026
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Insights

Who Will Win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Prediction markets expect a two-horse race

2026 Ballon d'Or prediction market odds for Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal and the leading contenders, with Kalshi and Polymarket prices analysed.

30 September 2026
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Insights

2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: 5 things traders are telling us

2026 midterm prediction markets show where traders see uncertainty. See the latest House, Senate and Governor odds from Kalshi and polymarket.com.

30 September 2026
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Insights

2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: Most traded races

Which 2026 midterm prediction markets are trading the most? Compare seven-day trading volume across Senate and governor races.

29 September 2026
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Insights

Why do prediction markets disagree with polls? 2026 midterm examples

Why do prediction markets disagree with polls? Explore how polling, probability, turnout and other information shape 2026 midterm market prices.

26 September 2026
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Insights

2026 Governor Prediction Markets: Which States are most competitive?

2026 governor race odds from Kalshi and Polymarket: the most competitive states, and where the two venues disagree, with both prices side by side.

23 September 2026
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Insights

2026 House Prediction Markets: Which party will win?

Compare 2026 House prediction markets on Kalshi and polymarket.com, including House control probabilities, seat-count markets and the closest races.

21 September 2026
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Insights

2026 Senate Prediction Markets: Which races are the most competitive?

2026 Senate election odds from Kalshi and Polymarket: control of the chamber and the most competitive Senate races, with both venues' prices side by side.

18 September 2026
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Insights

2026 Midterm Election Prediction Markets: Latest Polymarket and Kalshi prices for control of Congress

2026 midterm election prediction markets, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket prices for House and Senate control and key races.

17 September 2026
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Insights

NFL Win Total Predictions: What do Kalshi and Polymarket US expect in 2026?

NFL win total predictions for 2026, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket US markets, win expectations and how to interpret prediction-market prices.

16 September 2026
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Insights

NFL Rookie of the Year Prediction Markets: Which Players Are Being Backed?

Explore the latest 2026 NFL Rookie of the Year prediction markets, including Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year odds on Kalshi and Polymarket.

15 September 2026
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Insights

NFL MVP Prediction Markets: Who is favourite to win the 2026 award?

Who is favourite to win the 2026 NFL MVP? Compare the latest prediction market odds and probabilities on Kalshi and Polymarket, including Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen and Justin Herbert.

13 September 2026
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Insights

NFL Division Winners: What do Polymarket & Kalshi prediction markets expect in 2026?

NFL division winners 2026: See what Kalshi and Polymarket predict for every AFC and NFC division, with live odds and analysis.

13 September 2026
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Insights

NFL Prediction Markets: Who Are the Favourites to Win Super Bowl 61?

Who are the favourites to win Super Bowl 61? Compare the latest NFL prediction market odds and probabilities on Kalshi and Polymarket, including the Bills, Rams and 49ers.

10 September 2026
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Insights

Champions League Prediction Markets: Kalshi & Polymarket prices and probabilities for the 2027 tournament

Champions League prediction markets for 2027: compare Kalshi and Polymarket prices, probabilities and the latest winner, Golden Boot and knockout markets.

8 September 2026
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Insights

Football Transfer Predictions: Latest Data on Potential Moves Ahead of Deadline Day

Football transfer predictions from the prediction markets: what Polymarket and Kalshi expect for Enzo Fernandez, Emiliano Martinez, Julian Alvarez, Bradley Barcola and Marcus Rashford before deadline day.

21 August 2026
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Insights

Premier League Predictions: What Prediction Markets Expect From the Opening Weekend

Premier League prediction markets rate Man Utd, Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea and every opening-weekend fixture ahead of the new season.

21 August 2026
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Insights

Paul Posluszny Exclusive Interview: NFL Predictions, Trevor Lawrence's Path to the Elite Level and His Favourite Linebacker in the Game Today

Former NFL linebacker Paul Posluszny gives his 2026 NFL predictions, backing the Seahawks to repeat as Super Bowl champions and Josh Allen for MVP.

20 August 2026
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Insights

NFL Prediction Markets: Three Things to Note Ahead of the 2026 Season

What are NFL prediction markets saying ahead of the 2026 season? We analyse the Super Bowl LXI, MVP and playoff markets on Kalshi and Polymarket to find three key trends.

20 August 2026
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Insights

Premier League Prediction Markets: Five Early Insights Ahead of the 2026/27 Season

Discover what Premier League prediction markets are forecasting for the 2026/27 football season, from the title race and Golden Boot to relegation, managerial changes and the transfer window.

18 August 2026
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Learn

Are Prediction Markets Better Than Pundits? Here’s what the data says

Are prediction markets better than pundits? We examine the data behind prediction markets, polls, experts and forecasting models to find out.

17 August 2026
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Insights

2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: What lessons can we take from 2024 election?

What can the 2024 US election teach us about 2026 midterm prediction markets? Explore how markets reacted to Biden, Trump and changing political information.

15 August 2026
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Insights

UFC 330 Predictions: What Prediction Markets expect to see in Philadelphia

UFC 330 predictions from Polymarket and Kalshi, including Makhachev vs Garry, Dern vs Robertson and the biggest favourites and underdogs on the card

14 August 2026
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Insights

Three things prediction markets got right at the 2026 World Cup

What the biggest prediction markets got right at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, from Spain's triumph to Germany's early exit and the USA's home advantage.

12 August 2026
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Insights

Prediction markets processed a record $50.6 billion in July - three key areas analysed

Prediction markets processed a record $50.6 billion in July. Discover why Apple vs NVIDIA, Bitcoin and the US Midterms became three of the month's biggest prediction markets.

11 August 2026
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Insights

4 Prediction Markets to Watch in August 2026

The biggest prediction markets to watch in August, including the Premier League, US CPI inflation, football transfer news and NFL pre-season markets, and why they're likely to move.

6 August 2026
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Insights

How LeBron James' signing reshaped NBA prediction markets

LeBron James' transfer to the Philadelphia 76ers triggered huge swings across Kalshi and Polymarket. See how NBA Championship, Eastern Conference and win-total prediction markets reacted.

4 August 2026
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